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As always, great insights! Is it possible that USCIS and DOS will not have final spillover data until mid-October when the November bulletin is issued? In other words, might November's bulletin be a more reliable indicator of how dates will move in FY2023?

And, thank you for the clear, helpful description of the two charts, the fact that USCIS chooses which one to use each month, and for linking USCIS's website where their chart choice is publicized. This information is something I've been sharing with my sponsored employee population and it is so important to understand, especially for Indian nationals who closely track the visa bulletin.

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Hi Stephen- Thanks for taking time to comment. In response to your question, with DOS and USCIS, "anything" is possible but I believe that they will have the rough data on spillover by the time the October 2022 visa bulletin is released. I plan to do a post with a lot of detail on the October 2022 visa bulletin. I hate making predictions but I think what we might see is a slight advance on EB-2 India even beyond Jan 1, 2015 ("the high water mark") and that will be in Chart B and then USCIS will use Chart B in October and perhaps November and then switch to Chart A but this is really a big speculation.

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